This file will simulate the chances of your party getting hit with a tier three knowledge bomb after a certain number of turns. You start at tier zero, and the chances of leveling up each round are as follows:
0 => 1: 255/256
1 => 2: 50%
2 => 3: 25%
Basically, the AI learns what monsters are immune to after you hit level 3 and they will stop casting spells that have no chance of working.
Turn | Lv 1 | Lv 2 | Lv 3 |
1 | 0.99585 | 0 | 0.0006 |
2 | 0.99999 | 0.50063 | 0.0006 |
3(1 I) | 1 | 0.74816 | 0.12586 |
4 | 1 | 0.87472 | 0.2826 |
5 | 1 | 0.93795 | 0.42956 |
6(2 I) | 1 | 0.96838 | 0.55691 |
7 | 1 | 0.98423 | 0.65983 |
8 | 1 | 0.99166 | 0.74054 |
9(3 I) | 1 | 0.99587 | 0.80342 |
10 | 1 | 0.99787 | 0.85116 |
11 | 1 | 0.99883 | 0.88752 |
12(4 I) | 1 | 0.99936 | 0.91572 |
13 | 1 | 0.99975 | 0.93657 |
14 | 1 | 0.99983 | 0.95259 |
15(5 I) | 1 | 0.99991 | 0.96382 |
16 | 1 | 0.99995 | 0.9728 |
17 | 1 | 0.99996 | 0.97957 |
18(6 I) | 1 | 0.99997 | 0.98483 |
19 | 1 | 0.99998 | 0.98858 |
20 | 1 | 1 | 0.99136 |
21(7 I) | 1 | 1 | 0.99372 |
22 | 1 | 1 | 0.99534 |
23 | 1 | 1 | 0.9966 |
24(8 I) | 1 | 1 | 0.99759 |
25 | 1 | 1 | 0.99832 |
26 | 1 | 1 | 0.99893 |
27(9 I) | 1 | 1 | 0.99927 |
28 | 1 | 1 | 0.9996 |
29 | 1 | 1 | 0.99985 |
30(10 I) | 1 | 1 | 1 |
And again, with +1/256 to each chance.
Turn | Lv 1 | Lv 2 | Lv 3 |
1 | 1 | 0 | 0.00038 |
2 | 1 | 0.50592 | 0.00038 |
3(1 I) | 1 | 0.75443 | 0.12875 |
4 | 1 | 0.87711 | 0.2871 |
5 | 1 | 0.93958 | 0.43649 |
6(2 I) | 1 | 0.96991 | 0.56486 |
7 | 1 | 0.98522 | 0.66884 |
8 | 1 | 0.99277 | 0.74905 |
9(3 I) | 1 | 0.99629 | 0.81118 |
10 | 1 | 0.9983 | 0.85846 |
11 | 1 | 0.99907 | 0.89456 |
12(4 I) | 1 | 0.99951 | 0.92148 |
13 | 1 | 0.9998 | 0.94077 |
14 | 1 | 0.99988 | 0.95534 |
15(5 I) | 1 | 0.99993 | 0.96675 |
16 | 1 | 0.99996 | 0.97512 |
17 | 1 | 0.99997 | 0.98163 |
18(6 I) | 1 | 0.99999 | 0.98641 |
19 | 1 | 1 | 0.99003 |
20 | 1 | 1 | 0.99267 |
21(7 I) | 1 | 1 | 0.99464 |
22 | 1 | 1 | 0.9962 |
23 | 1 | 1 | 0.99732 |
24(8 I) | 1 | 1 | 0.99808 |
25 | 1 | 1 | 0.99875 |
26 | 1 | 1 | 0.9991 |
27(9 I) | 1 | 1 | 0.99941 |
28 | 1 | 1 | 0.99963 |
29 | 1 | 1 | 0.99986 |
30(10 I) | 1 | 1 | 1 |